Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kristiansund in this match.