Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.