Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 52.62%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.