Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.