Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.