Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.