Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 56.88%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 1-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.