Scottish Premiership Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 21' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 31' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 62' yellowcard
  • James Penrice 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Mulligan 84'
  • yellowcard Simon Murray 86'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ingram 90'+1'

Hearts vs Dundee - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 1, 2024 3.00pm
Hearts 1 - 1 Aberdeen
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 4, 2024 7.45pm
Dundee 4 - 1 Motherwell
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Simon Murray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result

Hearts 49.07% (+0.03)
Draw 23.9% (-0.01)
Dundee 27.02% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.24% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.55% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 44.45% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.18% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 66.82% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.92% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.08% (+0.02)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 81.78% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.22% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.76% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.24% (-0.01)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 69.99% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 30.01% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.87% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.13% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Hearts 49.07%
Draw 23.9%
Dundee 27.02%
Hearts
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.31% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 49.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.9%
Dundee
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 27.02%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 10, 2024 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Scott Tiffoney 23' goal
  • Tony Docherty 27' yellowcard
  • Scott Tiffoney 28' yellowcard
  • Antonio Portales 43' yellowcard
  • Gerald Taylor 45'+2' goal
  • Luke McCowan 45'+5' goal
  • Ziyad Larkeche 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 26'
  • yellowcard Gerald Taylor 42'
  • goal Frankie Kent 61'
  • yellowcard James Penrice 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 11, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Kenneth Vargas 35' goal
  • Alan Forrest 53' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 90' goal
  • yellowcard Amadou Bakayoko 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Luke McCowan 57'
  • yellowcard Aaron Donnelly 76'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Jordan McGhee 26' goal
  • Amadou Bakayoko 33' yellowcard
  • Malachi Boateng 43' yellowcard
  • Lyall Cameron 59' goal
  • Luke McCowan 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Naismith 34'
  • goal Alan Forrest 55'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 79'
  • yellowcard Alex Cochrane 84'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 87'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 12
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Dexter Lembikisa 49' yellowcard
  • Calem Nieuwenhof 57' goal
  • Dexter Lembikisa 74' goal
  • Yutaro Oda 86' goal
  • goal Jordan McGhee 19'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 38'
  • yellowcard Jordan McGhee 41'
  • yellowcard Dara Costelloe 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Amadou Bakayoko 60'
  • yellowcard Owen Dodgson 65'
  • yellowcard Curtis Main 77'
  • yellowcard Lee Ashcroft 79'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Owen Beck 39' yellowcard
  • Luke McCowan 63' goal
  • yellowcard Yutaro Oda 39'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ellis Simms 21' goal
  • yellowcard Charlie Adam 40'
  • goal Toby Sibbick 51' (OG)
  • yellowcard Zak Rudden 66'
  • goal Danny Mullen 78'
  • yellowcard Shaun Byrne 90'+3'