European Championship
Jun 29, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 4' goal
  • Kai Havertz 53' goal
  • Julian Nagelsmann 59' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 68' goal
  • yellowcard Kasper Hjulmand 41'
  • goal Joachim Andersen 48'
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 57'
  • yellowcard Joakim Maehle 60'

Germany vs Denmark - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News
Match Analysis
Feature

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Denmark

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Denmark win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Germany in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Germany.

Result

Germany 40.99%
Draw 25.14%
Denmark 33.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.3%
Under 2.5 46.7%
Over 3.5 31.04%
Under 3.5 68.97%
Over 4.5 15.39%
Under 4.5 84.61%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 77.32%
Under 0.5 22.68%
Over 1.5 43.67%
Under 1.5 56.33%

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 73.46%
Under 0.5 26.54%
Over 1.5 38.25%
Under 1.5 61.75%

Score analysis

Germany 40.99%
Draw 25.13%
Denmark 33.87%
Germany
1-0 @ 8.93%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.13%
Denmark
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.87%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 2, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Florian Neuhaus 48' goal
  • Leroy Sane 57' yellowcard
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 71'
International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2017 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christian Eriksen 18' goal
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 88'
European Championship
Jun 17, 2012 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
European Championship
Jun 26, 1992 7.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ullevi
  • John Jensen 18' goal
  • Torben Piechnik 32' yellowcard
  • Kim Vilfort 78' goal
  • yellowcard Stefan Effenberg 35'
  • yellowcard Thomas Hassler 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Reuter 55'
  • yellowcard Thomas Doll 83'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Klinsmann 88'

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups