Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 7.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.09%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.