Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Elgin City win it was 2-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.