Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.