Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.