Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.