Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Servette had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 1-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.