Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Lewis Rees 3'
Chris Craven 90'+4'

Louis Lloyd 38'
Louis Lloyd 56'
Zack Clarke 82'
Sam Downey 90'+5'
Sam Downey 90'+5'

Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions

L
W
W
L
W
W

Welsh Premier League

L
W
W
L
W
W

Last game

Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm

Haverfordwest 1 - 0 Cardiff MU

Goals scored

44

Top scorer

Ryan Reynolds

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
W
D
W
L
L

Welsh Premier League

W
W
D
W
L
L

Last game

Sep 28, 2024 5.15pm

Caernarfon 3 - 1 Connah's Quay

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Louis Lloyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Cardiff MU 48.56% ▲ (+0.27)

Draw 22.33% ▼ (-0.06)

Caernarfon Town 29.11% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score:

64.53% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.43% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 2.5 35.57% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 3.5 42.38% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 3.5 57.62% ▼ (-0.17)

Over 4.5 24.08% ▲ (+0.14)

Under 4.5 75.92% ▼ (-0.14)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5 84.93% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 0.5 15.07% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 1.5 56.42% ▲ (+0.28)

Under 1.5 43.59% ▼ (-0.28)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.98% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 0.5 24.02% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 1.5 41.72% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 1.5 58.29% ▲ (+0.09)

Score analysis

Cardiff MU 48.56%

Draw 22.33%

Caernarfon Town 29.11%

Cardiff MU

2-1 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.02)

1-0 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.04)

3-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.02)

3-0 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.04)

4-1 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.04)

4-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)

4-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.03)

5-1 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 4.19%

Total : 48.56%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.04)

2-2 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.03)

3-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.37%

Total : 22.33%

Caernarfon Town

1-2 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.04)

0-1 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.05)

0-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.05)

1-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.03)

2-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.03)

1-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)

2-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.81%

Total : 29.11%

Head to Head

Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 1 2

FT The Oval

Louis Lloyd 19'
Morgan Owen 22'
Louis Lloyd 87'

Matt Clubb 6'
Ryan Reynolds 42'
Joel Edwards 67'

May 10, 2024 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Louis Lloyd 63'
Mike Williams 86'
Mike Williams 87'
Adam Davies 90'

Chris Craven 48'
Kyle McCarthy 55'

Mar 23, 2024 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 2

FT The Oval

Zack Clarke 84'
Dion Donohue 90'+6'

Chris Craven 5'
Sam Jones 13'
Barney Soady 45'+4'

Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Emlyn Lewis 17'
Tom Price 24'
Eliot Evans 57'
Sam Jones 70'
Matt Clubb 90'+2'
Kyle McCarthy 90'+6'

Adam Davies 10'
Sion Bradley 18'
Gruff John Williams 74'
Gwion Dafydd 84'

Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Emlyn Lewis 70'
Eliot Evans 73'

Adam Davies 9'
Danny Gosset 87'

Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm

5

1

HT : 2 0

FT The Oval

Sion Bradley 4'
Sion Bradley 37'
Adam Davies 49'
Sion Bradley 58'
Zack Clarke 69'

Chris Craven 32'
Dion Donohue 52' (OG)
H 76'
Chris Craven 81'

Form Data

Haverfordwest 1 - 0 Cardiff MU

Aberystwyth 1 - 2 Cardiff MU

Cardiff MU 2 - 1 Connah's Quay

Newtown 2 - 1 Cardiff MU

Bala Town 0 - 1 Cardiff MU

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Cardiff MU

Caernarfon 3 - 1 Connah's Quay

Flint Town 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Barry 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Briton Ferry

Pen-y-Bont 2 - 0 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Cardiff MU