Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Alex Robertson 70' yellowcard
  • Alex Robertson 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Hamadi 45'+13'
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Hamadi 45'+13'
  • yellowcard Ashley Phillips 60'
  • yellowcard Ashley Phillips 60'
  • yellowcard Sam Gallagher 72'
  • yellowcard Sam Gallagher 72'
  • goal Will Fish 85' (OG)
  • goal Will Fish 85' (OG)

Cardiff City vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm
Preston 2 - 2 Cardiff
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Callum Robinson

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm
Stoke 1 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Cannon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Cardiff City 43.39% (-0.21)
Draw 26.96% (+0.29)
Stoke City 29.65% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.34% (-0.90)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.41% (-1.13)
Under 2.5 55.59% (+1.13)
Over 3.5 23.24% (-0.94)
Under 3.5 76.76% (+0.93)
Over 4.5 10.26% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 89.74% (+0.58)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 74.59% (-0.62)
Under 0.5 25.41% (+0.62)
Over 1.5 39.78% (-0.85)
Under 1.5 60.22% (+0.85)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 66.14% (-0.66)
Under 0.5 33.85% (+0.65)
Over 1.5 29.48% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 70.52% (+0.72)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 43.38%
Draw 26.96%
Stoke City 29.65%
Cardiff City
1-0 @ 11.78% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.07% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 43.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 8.6% (+0.37)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.96%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 9.32% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.05% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.65%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
ET Britannia Stadium
  • Lewis Koumas 42' goal
  • Lewis Koumas 46' goal
  • Lewis Baker 58' goal
  • Ben Gibson 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Rubin Colwill 8'
  • goal Yousef Salech 20'
  • goal Rubin Colwill 68'
  • yellowcard Rubin Colwill 88'
  • yellowcard Callum O'Dowda 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Will Fish 98'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Andy Moran 17' goal
  • Andy Moran 17' goal
  • Andy Moran 24' yellowcard
  • Ben Wilmot 65' yellowcard
  • Ben Gibson 66' yellowcard
  • Ashley Famiwuya 67' yellowcard
  • Ben Gibson 90'+5' goal
  • goal Anwar El Ghazi 32'
  • yellowcard Joe Ralls 43'
  • goal B 73' (OG)
Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Kion Etete 5' goal
  • Karlan Grant 32' goal
  • Perry Ng 40' yellowcard
  • Emmanouil Siopis 51' yellowcard
  • Joe Ralls 76' yellowcard
  • Dimitrios Goutas 83' yellowcard
  • goal Joon-Ho Bae 41'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 73'
Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Luke McNally 42' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Sory Kaba 29' goal
  • goal Josh Laurent 16'
Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Tyrese Campbell 11' goal
  • Liam Delap 18' goal
  • goal Ryan Wintle 6'
  • goal Callum Robinson 58'