League One Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Abbey Stadium
  • James Brophy 52' goal
  • Ben Stevenson 72' yellowcard
  • Josh Stokes 74' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Hoskins 26'

Cambridge United vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
Barnsley 1 - 1 Cambridge
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Dan N'Lundulu

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
Northampton 0 - 2 Blackpool
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Cameron McGeehan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Cambridge United 37.62% (+0.16)
Draw 28.63% (-0.01)
Northampton Town 33.75% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.81% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.37% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 60.63% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 19.28% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 80.72% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 7.93% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 92.07% (-0.01)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5 68.95% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 31.05% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 32.64% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 67.36% (-0.13)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.43% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 33.57% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 29.79% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 70.21% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Cambridge United 37.61%
Draw 28.62%
Northampton Town 33.74%
Cambridge United
1-0 @ 12.18% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.78% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.13% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.03% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.78% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 37.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.42% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.62%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 11.37% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.21% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.74%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • yellowcard Shayne Lavery 75'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Elias Kachunga 16' goal
  • Elias Kachunga 16' goal
  • Paul Digby 81' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Guthrie 82'
  • yellowcard Jon Brady 82'
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Shaun McWilliams 42' yellowcard
  • Kieron Bowie 49' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 55' goal
  • yellowcard James Brophy 39'
  • goal Gassan Ahadme 77'
  • yellowcard Paul Digby 79'
  • redcard Paul Digby 80'
  • yellowcard Danny Andrew 90'
EFL Trophy
Sep 20, 2022 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Fejiri Okenabirhie 68'
  • goal Fejiri Okenabirhie 77'
FA Cup
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Harvey Knibbs 13' goal
  • Sam Smith 40' goal
  • Ben Worman 48' goal
  • goal Danny Rose 75'
  • yellowcard Aaron McGowan 82'
FA Cup
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Kion Etete 6' goal
  • Fraser Horsfall 12' yellowcard
  • Paul Lewis 35' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 87' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Smith 14'
  • yellowcard Sam Smith 63'
  • goal Conor Masterson 66'