Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 42.22%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 28.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.