Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.