/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcellog.png)
-
Emre Can
7'
-
Karim Adeyemi
11'
-
Karim Adeyemi
29'
-
Pascal Gross
32'
-
Serhou Guirassy
40'
-
Karim Adeyemi
42'
-
Serhou Guirassy
66'
-
Felix Nmecha
79'
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Ramy Bensebaini
90'+3'
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Kasper Schmeichel
6'
-
Daizen Maeda
9'
-
Reo Hatate
74'
Borussia Dortmund vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fserhou-guirassy.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.05%) and 0-1 (4.93%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
37.15%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
21.8%
Celtic
41.04%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
70.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.31%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
29.69%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
49.18%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
50.82%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
29.99%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
70.01%
▼
(-0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
82.94%
Under 0.5
17.06%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
52.77%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
47.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5
84.51%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
15.49%
Over 1.5
55.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
44.38%
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
37.15%
Draw
21.8%
Celtic
41.04%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
7.71%
1-0 @ 4.67%
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-2 @ 4.24%
2-0 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.87%
4-3 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 37.15%
1-0 @ 4.67%
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-2 @ 4.24%
2-0 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.87%
4-3 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 37.15%
Draw
1-1
@
8.72%
2-2 @ 7.19%
0-0 @ 2.64%
3-3 @ 2.63%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.8%
2-2 @ 7.19%
0-0 @ 2.64%
3-3 @ 2.63%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.8%
Celtic
1-2
@
8.13%
1-3 @ 5.05%
0-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.47%
0-3 @ 2.86%
1-4 @ 2.36%
2-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 1.33%
3-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 41.04%
1-3 @ 5.05%
0-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.47%
0-3 @ 2.86%
1-4 @ 2.36%
2-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 1.33%
3-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 41.04%