Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.53%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.