Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 57.7%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.