Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.