Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 46.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.