Scottish Championship Gameweek 33
Apr 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Ethan Walker 90' goal
  • Ethan Walker 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ethan Walker 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Ethan Walker 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Sean Mackie 45'
  • yellowcard Dylan Tait 46'
  • yellowcard Calvin Miller 51'

Ayr United vs Falkirk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
George Oakley

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
Falkirk 5 - 0 Morton
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Calvin Miller

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 33.53% (+0.04)
Draw 25.82% (-0.01)
Falkirk 40.65% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.4% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.23% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 49.77% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 28.22% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 71.77% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.46% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.53% (-0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 71.76% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 28.23% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 36.06% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.94% (-0.04)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 75.8% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.2% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 41.46% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 58.53% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Ayr United 33.53%
Draw 25.82%
Falkirk 40.65%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 8.64% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.75% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.27% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 33.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.82%
Falkirk
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 40.65%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Liam Henderson 45'+1' goal
  • Scott Arfield 64' goal
  • Barney Stewart 68' yellowcard
  • Liam Henderson 86' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Henderson 17'
  • goal George Oakley 39'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 39'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 3 2
FT Somerset Park
  • Michael Devlin 6' yellowcard
  • Connor McLennan 34' goal
  • Ben Dempsey 38' goal
  • Scott McMann 40' goal
  • Alfie Bavidge 60' goal
  • Alfie Bavidge 70' goal
  • goal Ross Maciver 2'
  • redcard Luke Graham 9'
  • goal Alfie Agyeman 36'
  • yellowcard Sean Mackie 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Ethan Ross 8' goal
  • Ethan Ross 51' goal
Scottish League Cup
Jul 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Anton Dowds 5' goal
  • Anton Dowds 56' yellowcard
  • Roy Syla 58' yellowcard
  • Marco Rus 59' yellowcard
  • Fraser Bryden 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keelan Adams 31'
  • yellowcard Finn Yeats 52'
  • yellowcard Ross Maciver 69'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Roy Syla 50' yellowcard
  • Roy Syla 70' redcard
  • Sean McGinty 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Henderson 30'
Scottish Cup
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Callumn Morrison 66' goal
  • Kai Kennedy 83' goal
  • goal Dipo Akinyemi 12'