Scottish League Cup
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Jay Henderson
29'
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Jay Henderson
30'
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Jay Henderson
43'
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Jake Hastie
67'
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Josh Peters
34'
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Josh Peters
45'
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John McLeod
57'
Ayr United vs Buckie Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Buckie Thistle had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Buckie Thistle win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result
Ayr United
66.84%
▲
(+0.36)
Draw
18.16%
▼
(-0.04)
Buckie Thistle
15%
▼
(-0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
58.19%
▼
(-0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.72%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 2.5
34.27%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 3.5
43.82%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 3.5
56.17%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 4.5
25.29%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 4.5
74.71%
▲
(+0.51)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5
90.5%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
9.49%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
68.15%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
31.84%
▲
(+0.15)
Buckie Thistle Goals
Over 0.5
64.29%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 0.5
35.71%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 1.5
27.52%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 1.5
72.48%
▲
(+0.77)
Score analysis
Ayr United
66.84%
Draw
18.16%
Buckie Thistle
15%
Ayr United
2-1
@
9.68%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.21)
1-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.14)
4-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 66.84%
2-0 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.21)
1-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.14)
4-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 66.84%
Draw
1-1
@
8.22%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 18.16%
2-2 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 18.16%
Buckie Thistle
1-2
@
4.23%
▼
(-0.07)
0-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 15%
0-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 15%