Premier League Gameweek 12
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Bukayo Saka 15' goal
  • Jorginho 24' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 31' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 44' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 52' goal
  • Ethan Nwaneri 86' goal
  • yellowcard Ola Aina 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 70'

Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Nov 10, 2024 4.30pm
Chelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Nov 10, 2024 2.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 3 Newcastle
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Chris Wood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 75.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 9.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 75.22% (-0.12)
Draw 15.49% (+0.09)
Nottingham Forest 9.3% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.8% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.08% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 36.92% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 40.9% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 59.1% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 22.87% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 77.13% (+0.29)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 91.73% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 8.27% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 71.11% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 28.89% (+0.26)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 53.21% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 46.79% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 17.67% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 82.33% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Arsenal 75.22%
Draw 15.49%
Nottingham Forest 9.3%
Arsenal
2-0 @ 12.02% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 9.99% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.65% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.13% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.59% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 6.22% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 4.73% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 3.1% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 75.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.33% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.87% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 15.49%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 2.94% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 2.78% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 9.3%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 30, 2024 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 89' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 40'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 65'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 72'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Eddie Nketiah 26' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 32' goal
  • Jurrien Maduro 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Ben White 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ola Aina 28'
  • yellowcard Orel Mangala 81'
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 82'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 19' goal
Premier League Gameweek 14
Oct 30, 2022 2.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gabriel Martinelli 5' goal
  • Reiss Nelson 49' goal
  • Reiss Nelson 52' goal
  • Thomas Partey 57' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 78' goal
FA Cup
Jan 9, 2022 5.10pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Philip Zinckernagel 35' yellowcard
  • Djed Spence 78' yellowcard
  • Lewis Grabban 83' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 74'
EFL Cup Gameweek 3
Sep 24, 2019 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Martinelli 31' goal
  • Reiss Nelson 56' yellowcard
  • Rob Holding 71' goal
  • Joe Willock 77' goal
  • Reiss Nelson 84' goal
  • Martinelli 92' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Robinson 91'

Build-up

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