Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 50%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Ahli in this match.