Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Excelsior Stadium

Adam Frizzell 65'
Dylan McDonald 83'
Gavin Gallagher 86'
Alex Bannon 90'+3'
Rhys McCabe 90'+3'

Reghan Tumilty 44'
Sean McGinty 83'

Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Academical - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

L
L
W
D
D
L

Scottish Championship

L
L
W
D
D
W

Last game

Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm

Airdrieonians 0 - 3 Falkirk

Goals scored

34

Top scorer

Ben Wilson

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

D
W
L
L
W
L

Scottish Championship

D
W
L
L
W
L

Last game

Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm

Hamilton 2 - 2 Falkirk

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

Oli Shaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result

Airdrieonians 40.24% ▲ (+1.48)

Draw 25.75% ▼ (-0.03)

Hamilton Academical 34.01% ▼ (-1.44)

Both Teams to Score:

54.76% ▼ (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.64% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 2.5 49.36% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 3.5 28.59% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 3.5 71.41% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 4.5 13.71% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 4.5 86.29% ▲ (+0.06)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5 75.77% ▲ (+0.74)

Under 0.5 24.23% ▼ (-0.73)

Over 1.5 41.43% ▲ (+1.04)

Under 1.5 58.57% ▼ (-1.03)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5 72.26% ▼ (-0.91)

Under 0.5 27.74% ▲ (+0.92)

Over 1.5 36.69% ▼ (-1.19)

Under 1.5 63.31% ▲ (+1.20)

Score analysis

Airdrieonians 40.24%

Draw 25.74%

Hamilton Academical 34.01%

Airdrieonians

1-0 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.24)

2-1 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.18)

2-0 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.31)

3-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.17)

3-0 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.21)

3-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.05)

4-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.09)

4-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.10)

Other @ 2.81%

Total : 40.24%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.21% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.03)

2-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.04)

3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.14%

Total : 25.74%

Hamilton Academical

0-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.20)

1-2 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.22)

0-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.28)

1-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.18)

2-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.08)

0-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.18)

1-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.09)

Other @ 2.88%

Total : 34.01%

Head to Head

Dec 28, 2024 3.00pm

3

2

HT : 2 2

FT The Hope CBD Stadium

Oli Shaw 14'
Stuart McKinstry 38'
Scott Martin 41'
Oli Shaw 90'

Dean McMaster 16'
Chris Mochrie 19'
Gavin Gallagher 45'

Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm

0

4

HT : 0 2

FT Excelsior Stadium

Tyrell Agyemang 12'
Craig Watson 81'

Connor Smith 3'
Sam Graham 9' (OG)
Kevin O'Hara 54'
Stephen Hendrie 56'
Dylan McGowan 64'
Dylan McGowan 82'

Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT Old Stadium, Phnom Penh

Kevin O'Hara 45'
Oli Shaw 47'
Oli Shaw 78'

Dylan McDonald 19'
Rhys Armstrong 22'
Aaron Reid 80'
Murray Aiken 87'

May 20, 2023 5.15pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

ET TBC

Connor Smith 23'
Jean-Pierre Tiehi 80'

Gabriel McGill 90'+1'

May 17, 2023 7.35pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

ET TBC

Callum Smith 56'

Jul 27, 2019 3.00pm

2

3

HT : 2 0

FT

Callum Smith 10'
James Cowan 21'
Alistair Roy 24'
Calum Gallagher 60'

Darian MacKinnon 30'
Ross Cunningham 48'
Aaron McGowan 53'
Ross Cunningham 60'
Ross Cunningham 85'
Marios Ogboe 89'

Form Data

Airdrieonians 0 - 3 Falkirk

Ayr 4 - 1 Airdrieonians

Airdrieonians 1 - 0 Raith Rovers

Partick 1 - 1 Airdrieonians

Morton 2 - 2 Airdrieonians

Dundee 4 - 0 Airdrieonians

Hamilton 2 - 2 Falkirk

Hamilton 1 - 0 Dunfermline

Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Hamilton

Morton 2 - 0 Hamilton

Queen's Park 1 - 2 Hamilton

St Johnstone 1 - 0 Hamilton