Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 64.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.