Scottish Cup
Feb 9, 2025 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Habib Gueye 45'+1' goal
  • Alexander Jensen 50' goal
  • Kevin Nisbet 85' goal
  • Kristers Tobers 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Hamilton 34'
  • yellowcard Ephraim Yeboah 81'

Aberdeen vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result

Aberdeen 54.62% (-0.19)
Draw 23.67% (+0.24)
Dunfermline Athletic 21.71% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.13% (-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.56% (-1.05)
Under 2.5 48.43% (+1.05)
Over 3.5 29.43% (-0.97)
Under 3.5 70.57% (+0.97)
Over 4.5 14.28% (-0.67)
Under 4.5 85.72% (+0.67)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 82.38% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 17.61% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 51.8% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 48.2% (+0.79)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 63.27% (-0.64)
Under 0.5 36.73% (+0.64)
Over 1.5 26.48% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 73.51% (+0.65)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 54.62%
Draw 23.67%
Dunfermline Athletic 21.71%
Aberdeen
1-0 @ 11.23% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.75% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 54.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 6.47% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 23.67%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 6.48% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.25% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 21.71%