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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Newport County |
| 34.98% | 27.59% | 37.43% |
| Both teams to score 48.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.25% | 56.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.3% | 77.7% |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% | 30.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.97% | 67.03% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% | 29.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.8% | 65.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.97% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.43% |