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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 34.79% | 27.33% | 37.89% |
| Both teams to score 49.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.26% | 55.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.12% | 76.88% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% | 30.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.43% | 66.57% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% | 28.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% | 64.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.78% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.88% |