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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 38.77% | 26.7% | 34.53% |
| Both teams to score 51.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% | 53.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% | 74.81% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% | 26.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.91% | 62.08% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% | 29.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% | 65.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.77% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 5.91% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.53% |