League One Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2026 8.00pm
One Call Stadium

Mansfield Town vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Mansfield 2 - 1 Bromley
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Nathan Moriah-Welsh

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm
Notts County 1 - 2 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Oxford United has a probability of 27.7% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Oxford United win is 0-1 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).

Result

Mansfield Town 46.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.8%
Oxford United 27.7% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.87%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.21%
Under 2.5 48.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.95%
Over 4.5 16.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.85% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Mansfield Town 33.87%
Draw 41.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Oxford United 24.26%

Team To Score First

Mansfield Town 54.52%
No Goal 6.64%
Oxford United 38.84%

Corners

Over 8 69.26%
Equal 8 9.92%
Under 8 20.82%
Over 9 58.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 30.74%
Over 10.5 46.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 53.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 1.5 44.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 20.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.73% ▲ (+0.02)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 63.97% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 36.03% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 30.01% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 69.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 10.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.1% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mansfield Town 46.5%
Draw 25.81%
Oxford United 27.7%
Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 46.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.81%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.7%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT One Call Stadium
  • Davis Keillor-Dunn 59' goal
League Two
Feb 9, 2016 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danny Hylton 30' goal
  • Danny Hylton 69' goal
  • goal Matt Green 22'
  • yellowcard Malvind Benning 27'
  • yellowcard Chris Beardsley 84'
  • goal Jack Thomas 89'
League Two
Aug 22, 2015 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Craig Westcarr 3' goal
  • Mitch Rose 37' yellowcard
  • Nicky Hunt 39' yellowcard
  • Chris Clements 70' yellowcard
  • Nathan Thomas 77' yellowcard
  • Malvind Benning 89' yellowcard
  • Jack Thomas 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander MacDonald 31'
  • goal Kemar Roofe 58'
  • yellowcard George Baldock 90'
  • yellowcard Kemar Roofe 93'
League Two
Feb 21, 2015 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alexander MacDonald 31' goal
  • Danny Hylton 53' yellowcard
  • Alexander MacDonald 54' goal
  • Danny Hylton 63' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Thomas 20'
  • yellowcard Ryan Tafazolli 58'
League Two
Aug 16, 2014 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Simon Heslop 36' yellowcard
  • Ryan Tafazolli 39' goal
  • Sam Clucas 59' yellowcard
  • Adam Murray 88' goal
  • Adam Murray 89' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Hylton 79'
League Two
Feb 15, 2014 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Connolly 27' goal
  • Nicky Wroe 53' goal
  • Dave Kitson 66' yellowcard
  • Deane Smalley 69' goal
  • yellowcard Jamie McGuire 63'
  • yellowcard Anthony Howell 78'
  • yellowcard Matthew Rhead 86'