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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 33.48% | 25.65% | 40.86% |
| Both teams to score 54.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% | 49.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% | 71.13% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% | 27.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% | 63.54% |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% | 23.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.07% | 57.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.48% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.86% |