Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Galway United had a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Galway United win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Galway United
47.31% ( 0.05)	26.73% ( 0)	25.96% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 47.61% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.35% (

-0.03)

56.65% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.39% (

-0.03)

77.61% (

0.03)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

0.01)

23.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.8% (

0.01)

58.2% (

-0.01)

Galway United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.61% (

-0.06)

37.39% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.83% (

-0.06)

74.17% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Derry City 47.3%

Galway United 25.96%

Draw 26.73%

Derry City	Draw	Galway United
1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.3%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 25.96%