La Liga Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2026 1.00pm
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga vs Racing de Santander - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 5.30pm
Betis 2 - 1 Malaga
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Adrián Niño Heredia

Racing de Santander

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 3.15pm
Racing 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Yassir Zabiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malaga win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Racing de Santander has a probability of 28.81% and a draw has a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win is 1-2 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.89%).

Result

Malaga 45.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 25.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Racing de Santander 28.81% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 18.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.52% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Malaga 32.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 40.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Racing de Santander 26.54% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Malaga 54.49% ▼ (-0.19)
No Goal 6.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Racing de Santander 39.19% ▲ (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 58.79% ▲ (+0.30)
Equal 8 11.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 29.98% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 9 47.31% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 41.21% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 10.5 36.53% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 10.5 63.47% ▼ (-0.25)

Malaga Goals

Over 1.5 46.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 53.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5 65.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Malaga 45.43%
Draw 25.76%
Racing de Santander 28.81%
Malaga
2-1 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-0 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 45.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 25.76%
Racing de Santander
1-2 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.81%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 41
May 24, 2026 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • David Larrubia 4' goal
  • Ramón Enríquez 60' yellowcard
  • Adrián Niño 78' yellowcard
  • Rafa Rodríguez 78' yellowcard
  • Aarón Ochoa 87' yellowcard
  • Dani Sánchez 87' yellowcard
  • Julen Lobete 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iñigo Vicente 46'
  • yellowcard Juan Carlos Arana 61'
  • yellowcard Javi Castro 61'
  • yellowcard Diego Díaz 61'
  • yellowcard Marco Sangalli 69'
  • goal Andrés Martín 70'
  • yellowcard Íñigo Sainz-Maza 86'
Segunda Division
Oct 5, 2025 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Segunda Division Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
  • Juan Carlos Arana 15' goal
  • Juan Carlos Arana 28' goal
  • Francisco Montero 58' yellowcard
  • Marco Sangalli 78' yellowcard
  • Victor Meseguer 89' yellowcard
  • Andres Martin 90' yellowcard
  • goal Julen Lobete 6'
  • yellowcard Manu Molina 19'
  • yellowcard Dioni 22'
  • yellowcard Jokin Gabilondo 36'
  • yellowcard Alex Pastor 90'+4'
Segunda Division Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Luismi 42' yellowcard
  • Carlos Francisco Puga Medina 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Sangalli 23'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Mantilla 40'
  • yellowcard Inigo Vicente 42'
Segunda Division Gameweek 30
Mar 5, 2023 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • goal Inigo Vicente 67'
Segunda Division Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Campos de Sport de El Sardinero