Copa del Rey
Oct 27, 2026 8.00pm

Sporting Alcázar vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Alcázar

All competitions

Malaga

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malaga win with a probability of 79.16%. A draw has a probability of 13.18% and a win for Sporting Alcázar has a probability of 7.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win is 0-2 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-3 (10.85%) and 0-1 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.95%) , while for a Sporting Alcázar win it is 1-0 (3.64%).

Result

Sporting Alcázar 7.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 13.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Malaga 79.16% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.9% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 18.66% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 60.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 39.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 38.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 61.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 31.15% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 4.5 68.85% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Sporting Alcázar 11.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 33.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Malaga 55.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Sporting Alcázar 22.95% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 4.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Malaga 72.4% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 46.23% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 8 10.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 42.85% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 9 36.02% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 9 10.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 53.77% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 10.5 27.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 72.82% ▼ (-0.07)

Sporting Alcázar Goals

Over 1.5 7.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 92.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 0.17%
Under 2.5 99.83%
Over 3.5 0.02%
Under 3.5 99.98%

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 90.12% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 9.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 70.35% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 29.65% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 47.74% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 52.26% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 28.85% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 71.15% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Sporting Alcázar 7.69%
Draw 13.19%
Malaga 79.17%
Sporting Alcázar
1-0 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 2.39%
2-0 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 7.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 13.19%
Malaga
0-2 @ 12.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 10.85% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 10.42% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 28.84% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 79.17%