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[monks data]
LA Galaxy
Major League Soccer
Apr 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK
The Home Depot Center
Los Angeles FC

LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Hernandez (13'), Coulibaly (31')
Araujo (37'), Coulibaly (63'), Williams (70'), Costa (85'), Leerdam (85'), Alvarez (89'), Hernandez (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Arango (79')
Hollingshead (49'), Murillo (90+4'), Arango (90+10')

Preview: Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Western Conference leaders Los Angeles FC make the short trip to Dignity Health Sports Park, where they will face rivals Los Angeles Galaxy on Sunday.

The visitors have put together an unbeaten run to begin this season, while LA Galaxy are not too far behind having picked up nine points from their first five matches.


Match preview

LA Galaxy forward Javier Hernandez (14) celebrates after scoring a goal against the Portland Timbers during the first half at Providence Park on April 3, 2022© Reuters

Greg Vanney's side bounced back from back-to-back defeats with a positive 3-1 win against Portland Timbers last weekend, when Bill Poni Tuiloma's own goal added to Javier Hernandez's brace for the visitors.

That was the first time this season that Galaxy have netted three goals in a single game, and they showed good efficiency in the final third, having registered just four shots on target at Providence Park.

After conceding four goals in their two games prior to last Sunday's outing, tightening up their defensive shape would have been pleasing for Vanney, and something they will need to improve on further and take in El Trafico this weekend.

Hernandez has scored four of the side's six goals this season, suggesting that the hosts will look to rely on the 33-year-old as their main attacking threat, but Raheem Edwards will also look to create attacking chances from the left wing.

Los Angeles FC midfielder Ilie Sanchez (6) is congratulated after scoring a goal against Orlando City in the second half at Orlando City Stadium on April 3, 2022© Reuters

Los Angeles FC will arrive at Dignity Health Sports Park full of confidence, having started the season unbeaten, and won their last three consecutive games.

After being pegged back on two occasions last weekend against Orlando City, second-half goals from Ilie Sanchez and Kwadwo Opoku ensured LAFC came away from Florida with a 4-2 win.

Form can sometimes become irrelevant ahead of a derby match as the result will come down to which team shows the most passion on the day, but Steven Cherundolo's side will feel that they have the edge over their hosts.

Los Angeles were not so good away from home last season, picking up half the amount of points on their travels as they did on their own patch, but they have started this campaign in better form and are well on track to beat their away points total from last year.

The previous two meetings between these rivals have been close affairs and ended in draws, with the first meeting of last season going the way of LA Galaxy in a tight 2-1 win in May 2021.

Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Greg Vanney, now in charge of Los Angeles Galaxy (LA Galaxy), pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Galaxy midfielder Marco Delgado will be forced to sit out of El Trafico this weekend after receiving two yellow cards against Portland last weekend, meaning Daniel Aguirre could come into the starting 11 for the first time this season.

Adam Saldana and Jorge Villafana are nearing their returns from injury, but Sunday's outing is sure to have come too soon for the duo to make their first appearances of the campaign.

Apart from the forced change in midfield, Vanney could name the same starting 11 which defeated the Timbers last weekend, with Efrain Alvarez continuing to lead the line alongside Hernandez.

LAFC's Eddie Segura, Erik Duenas and Franco Escobar are all ruled out of this clash due to injury, but there are no new injury or suspension issues for the visitors.

Cherundolo will set his side up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Brian Rodriguez, Cristian Arango and Carlos Vela making up the forward line, looking to add to the five goals between them this season.

Los Angeles Galaxy possible starting lineup:
Bond; Edwards, Williams, DePuy, Leerdam; Grandsir, Aguirre, Raveloson, Cabral; Alvarez, Hernandez

Los Angeles FC possible starting lineup:
Crepeau; Palacios, Fall, Murillo, Hollingshead; Ginella, Sanchez, Blessing; Rodriguez, Arango, Vela


SM words green background

We say: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Los Angeles FC

Galaxy will be confident about getting on the scoresheet having netted three times last weekend, but their visitors arrive in good form and full of confidence.

Los Angeles FC have shown no signs as to why they will not come away with three points this weekend, and they are in better scoring form so should be able to outscore their hosts.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Los Angeles

Los Angeles Galaxy
46.2%
Draw
15.4%
Los Angeles FC
38.5%
13
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami94321914515
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls8431117415
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
4Columbus Crew8341107313
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati833287112
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta7322127511
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
8DC United82421212010
9CF MontrealMontreal73131014-410
10Toronto8314812-410
11Chicago Fire82331114-39
12New York City FCNY City822479-28
13Orlando City7223813-58
14Nashville SCNashville7142813-57
15New England RevolutionNew England7115513-84

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7412159613
3Houston DynamoHouston741297213
4Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8332118312
5Colorado RapidsColorado83321312112
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles83231312111
7St Louis City82511211111
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
9Sporting Kansas CityKansas82421413110
10Portland TimbersPortland8233161609
11Austin FCAustin82331113-29
12Seattle SoundersSeattle71339726
13Dallas7124610-45
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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