KNVB Beker
Oct 28, 2026 8.00pm
Sportpark Dijkpolder

Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Excelsior Maassluis

All competitions

Heerenveen

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Excelsior Maassluis has a probability of 36.95% and a draw has a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.54%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Excelsior Maassluis win is 2-1 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.98%).

Result

Excelsior Maassluis 36.95% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 22.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Heerenveen 40.21% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 17.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 62.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 37.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 41.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 58.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 26.38% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 73.62% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Excelsior Maassluis 27.85% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 37.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Heerenveen 34.55% ▲ (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Excelsior Maassluis 45.43% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 4.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Heerenveen 50.26% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 56.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.51%
Under 8 32.52% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 46.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 10.67%
Under 9 43.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 36.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 63.72% ▲ (+0.08)

Excelsior Maassluis Goals

Over 1.5 43.02% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 56.98% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 20.27% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 79.73% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 8.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.3% ▲ (+0.04)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 73.83% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 26.17% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 45.28% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 54.72% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 22.48% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 77.52% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 9.65% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 90.35% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Excelsior Maassluis 36.93%
Draw 22.84%
Heerenveen 40.2%
Excelsior Maassluis
2-1 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 36.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 22.84%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03%
Other @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 40.2%