Scottish League Cup Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Rory McKenzie 43' yellowcard
  • Greg Kiltie 61' goal

Kilmarnock vs Hamilton Academical - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Elgin 0 - 1 Kilmarnock

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Hamilton 1 - 1 Raith Rovers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Kilmarnock 48.61% (+0.08)
Draw 24.3% (-0.01)
Hamilton Academical 27.09% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.95% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.05% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 57.39% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 42.61% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 34.33% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 65.67% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 20.68% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.32% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 35.87%
Draw 40.21%
Hamilton Academical 23.93%

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 56.16% (+0.05)
No Goal 5.65%
Hamilton Academical 38.19% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 60.12% (-0.47)
Equal 8 11.55% (+0.04)
Under 8 28.33% (+0.44)
Over 9 48.16% (-0.45)
Equal 9 11.96% (-0.02)
Under 9 39.88% (+0.47)
Over 10.5 36.85% (-0.38)
Under 10.5 63.15% (+0.38)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 49.65% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 50.35% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 24.75% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 75.25% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.41% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.59% (-0.02)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5 64.25% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.75% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 32.14% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.86% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11.99% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.01% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.06% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.94% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 48.61%
Draw 24.31%
Hamilton Academical 27.09%
Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 7.05% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.9% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.13% (+0.03)
Total : 48.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.31%
Hamilton Academical
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.78% (-0.02)
Total : 27.09%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Fraser Murray 44' goal
  • Blair Alston 55' goal
  • yellowcard Reegan Mimnaugh 20'
  • yellowcard Mihai Popescu 83'
  • yellowcard Scott Martin 86'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ronan Hughes 3' goal
  • Mihai Popescu 37' yellowcard
  • Josh Mullin 84' goal
  • goal Callum Hendry 8'
  • goal Chris Stokes 35'
  • goal Fraser Murray 54'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 75'
  • redcard Zach Hemming 78'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Fountain of Youth Stadium
  • Miko Virtanen 29' yellowcard
  • Ben Stirling 32' yellowcard
  • David Moyo 68' goal
  • Andy Ryan 86' goal
  • goal Danny Armstrong 53'
  • yellowcard Steven Warnock 72'
  • yellowcard Blair Alston 78'
  • yellowcard Chris Stokes 85'
  • goal Jack Sanders 89'
  • goal Jack Sanders 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Oli Shaw 5' goal
  • Blair Alston 68' yellowcard
  • Danny Armstrong 74' goal
  • goal Jamie Hamilton 8'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott McMann 62' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Robinson 60'
  • goal Scott Robinson 70'
  • yellowcard Chris Burke 82'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
May 16, 2021 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Fountain of Youth Stadium
  • Aaron Martin 72' yellowcard
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 9'
  • yellowcard Gary Dicker 35'
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 44'
  • yellowcard Brandon Haunstrup 47'
  • yellowcard Greg Kiltie 57'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 90'+3'