Club Friendlies 3
Feb 6, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Nacionalinės futbolo akademijos stadionas
  • Fedor Cernych 23' goal
  • Fedor Černych 23' goal
  • Fedor Cernych 82' goal
  • Fedor Černych 82' goal

Kauno Zalgiris vs Zimbru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kauno Zalgiris

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 1.00pm
Esbjerg 1 - 2 Kauno Zalgiris

Zimbru

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 29, 2026 2.00pm
Zimbru 3 - 2 Michalovce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kauno Zalgiris win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Zimbru had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kauno Zalgiris win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Zimbru win was 0-1 (7.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Kauno Zalgiris 47.28% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 24.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Zimbru 28.68% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.3% ▲ (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 22.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 54.49% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 45.51% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 31.94% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 68.06% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 18.66% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 81.34% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Kauno Zalgiris 34.42% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 43.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Zimbru 22.37% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Kauno Zalgiris 52.42% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Zimbru 41.31% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 47.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.46%
Under 8 41.37% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 36.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 10.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 52.83% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 27.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 72.95% ▼ (-0.04)

Kauno Zalgiris Goals

Over 1.5 47.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 52.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 22.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 77.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Zimbru Goals

Over 0.5 64.04% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 35.96% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 31.1% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 68.9% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 11.85% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 88.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 3.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.42% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Kauno Zalgiris 47.28%
Draw 24.04%
Zimbru 28.67%
Kauno Zalgiris
2-1 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.5%
Total : 47.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.04%
Zimbru
0-1 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 28.67%