Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.