Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 52.68%. A win for Maccabi Netanya had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Maccabi Netanya win was 0-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.