Iraq national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Gameweek 9
Jun 5, 2025 at 7.15pm UK
 
South Korea national football team

Iraq
0 - 2
South Korea

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Palestine 2-1 Iraq
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

South Korea

All competitions
Last Game: South Korea 1-1 Jordan
Tuesday, March 25 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Korea win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw has a probability of 24.1% and a win for Iraq has a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Iraq win it is 1-0 (6.74%).

Result
IraqDrawSouth Korea
24.07% (1 1)24.07% (0.943 0.94)51.86% (-1.946 -1.95)
Both teams to score 53.78% (-1.895 -1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-3.076 -3.08)47.66% (3.072 3.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-2.906 -2.91)69.86% (2.904 2.9)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (-0.809 -0.81)34.12% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (-0.878 -0.88)70.81% (0.875 0.88)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-1.855 -1.86)18.36% (1.852 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-3.237 -3.24)49.48% (3.234 3.23)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 24.07%
    South Korea 51.85%
    Draw 24.06%
IraqDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.691 0.69)
2-1 @ 6.14% (0.154 0.15)
2-0 @ 3.62% (0.3 0.3)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 24.07%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.53 0.53)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.765 0.77)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 10.61% (0.703 0.7)
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 9% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.422 -0.42)
0-3 @ 5.08% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.297 -0.3)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.335 -0.34)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 51.85%

How you voted: Iraq vs South Korea

Iraq
27.3%
Draw
18.2%
South Korea
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2024 12pm
Third Round
South Korea
3-2
Iraq
Se-hun (41'), Hyeon-gyu (74'), Jae-sung (83')
Yong-woo (35'), Jae-sung (81'), Seon-min (96')
Hussein (50'), Bayesh (95')
Saadoon (71'), Atiyah (96')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2024 1pm
Friendlies 1
Iraq
0-1
South Korea

Al-Hajjaj (86'), Tahseen (88')
Jae-sung (40')
Kang-in (86')
Kang-in (86')
Nov 16, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Iraq
0-3
South Korea

Adnan (70')
Jae-sung (33'), Heung-min (74' pen.), Woo-yeong (80')
Chul (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2021 12pm
Third Round
South Korea
0-0
Iraq
Son (39')
Abdul Zahra (78'), Al-Ammari (81'), Ibrahim Khalaf (90')
> Preview
Jul 7, 2013 4pm
Quarter-finals
Iraq
3-3
South Korea
(Aggregate 3-3 | Iraq win 5-4 on penalties)
Faez, Shakor
Changhoon, Gwanghun, Hyuncheol
> Match Report