Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uganda win with a probability of 44.1%. A draw has a probability of 30.7% and a win for Gambia has a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (14.31%), while for a Gambia win it is 0-1 (11.34%).