International Friendlies
Jun 9, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rogers Mato 27' goal
  • goal Alasana Manneh 45'+1'

Uganda vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

Gambia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 6, 2025 8.00pm
Eq Guinea 1 - 2 Gambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uganda win with a probability of 44.1%. A draw has a probability of 30.7% and a win for Gambia has a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (14.31%), while for a Gambia win it is 0-1 (11.34%).

Result

Uganda 44.1% (+0.02)
Draw 30.68% (-0.01)
Gambia 25.22% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.42% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 30.81% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 69.19% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.29% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 86.72% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 4.77% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 95.23% (-0.01)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5 68.37% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.63% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 31.96% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 68.04% (-0.03)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 54.73% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 45.27% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 18.85% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 81.15% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Uganda 44.1%
Draw 30.67%
Gambia 25.21%
Uganda
1-0 @ 16.48%
2-0 @ 9.49% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.52% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.64% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 44.1%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.31% (-0.01)
1-1 @ 13.06%
2-2 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 30.67%
Gambia
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 25.21%