Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a British Virgin Islands win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Anguilla had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a British Virgin Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Anguilla win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.