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[monks data]
New York City
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 24
Aug 15, 2021 at 1am UK
Yankee Stadium
Inter Miami

NY City
2 - 0
Inter Miami

Castellanos (21', 45+1' pen.)
Meineche (10'), Parks (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gregore (41'), Leerdam (45+1'), Gibbs (54')

Preview: New York City FC vs. Inter Miami - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Phil Neville's Inter Miami travel to New York City FC on Sunday in the Eastern Conference of the MLS, with the home side keen to close the 12-point gap between themselves and New England Revolution at the summit.

New York City have two games in hand on the Eastern leaders, but they must also be wary of dropping out of the playoff positions as Montreal are only five points behind in eighth.


Match preview

New York City FC forward Valentin Castellanos (11) celebrates a goal by forward Santiago Rodriguez (not pictured) against Toronto FC with defender Malte Amundsen (12) and forward Thiago (8) during the first half at BMO Field on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Ronny Deila's side come into Sunday's game on the back of disappointment in the international Leagues Cup, after losing out to Mexican outfit Pumas in the quarter-final.

Striker Valentin Castellanos gave New York City the lead after 61 minutes but just 10 minutes later Rogerio equalised for Pumas to send the game to penalties, when the Mexican side came out as 3-2 winners.

The Bronx Blues' last league action came on the weekend when Deila took his side to Canada where they faced Toronto, but New York City let a two-goal lead slip away, earning a point from the 2-2 result.

Santiago Rodriguez and Ismael Tajouri struck goals in the first half only for the side to throw away their lead in five minutes of the second half, courtesy of quickfire strikes from Richie Laryea and Alejandro Pozuelo.

New York City have the second best defensive record in the Eastern Conference this campaign, so they will be disappointed about how they allowed Toronto to level the score in a short space of time.

Inter Miami CF teammates celebrate on June 26, 2021© Reuters

Between the end of May and the end of July Inter Miami suffered six defeats on the bounce, but since then Neville has managed to improve the results slightly.

Their unbeaten run of three games was extended to four last time out against Nashville SC, as the team showed spirit to come from behind to win the game 2-1, thanks to a 95th-minute winner from Indiana Vassilev.

Inter Miami were arguably deserved winners of that game, having seven more shots on target than Nashville, and their pressure paid off in the end.

The former England Women's manager admitted that he was under pressure in his new job after the 5-0 defeat against New England, but he has seemingly turned the side's fortunes around in recent weeks and the unbeaten run will be welcomed by owner David Beckham.

Miami are the lowest scorers in the Eastern Conference, only finding the back of the net on 15 occasions this campaign, and that stat is sure to need improving if the club want to climb the table in their second season in the MLS.

New York City FC Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D

New York City FC form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L

Inter Miami Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W



Team News

Inter Miami head coach Phil Neville helps D.C. United midfielder Kevin Paredes (30) to get up on June 9, 2021© Reuters

New York City striker Heber has not featured for the side this season after damaging his cruciate ligament in September last year and he will miss Sunday's fixture also, but he could return to the pitch at the end of this month.

Gedion Zelalem has only made one appearance for New York City since arriving on a free transfer at the beginning of 2020, and he is unlikely to add to his appearance count this weekend as he is recovering from a knee injury.

Young winger Talles Magno also has a knee injury which he picked up at the start of August, and he will not return to the side until September.

Midfielder Keaton Parks received double yellow cards against Salt Lake and served his suspension in the last league outing against Toronto, therefore he is expected to return to the starting 11 on Sunday.

Experienced winger Joevin Jones will continue to be an absentee for Inter Miami, having not featured since the end of June after picking up a knee injury.

Neville tends to alter his formation depending on the opposition and as New York City currently sit third in the Eastern Conference, Inter Miami are likely to lineup with a back three which can become a back five when they are out of possession.

New York City FC possible starting lineup:
Johnson; Thorarinsson, Callens, Chanot, Tinnerholm; Parks, Morales; Thiago, Medina, Moralez; Castellanos

Inter Miami possible starting lineup:
Marsman; Makoun, Figal, Pirez; Gibbs, Matuidi, Gregore, Leerdam; Pizarro, Higuain, Morgan


SM words green background

We say: New York City FC 1-1 Inter Miami

Neville will be determined for his side to continue their unbeaten run and three points could take the side up to ninth in the table, showing how tight it still is between each team.

However, New York City are going to pose a big challenge for Inter Miami and this game could end in a draw if form is anything to go by.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:459067:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10497:
Written by
Sammy Wynne

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: NY City vs Inter Miami

New York City FC
25.0%
Draw
50.0%
Inter Miami
25.0%
12
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Inter Miami CF teammates celebrate on June 26, 2021
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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